Back to UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Main Welterweight

Drew Dober vs Frank Camacho

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 ·Spectrum Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Drew Dober
Frank Camacho
61% 39%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
29
Age
Δ 1y
29
30-15
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-10
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dober: 145 sig / 0 TD · Camacho: 106 sig / 3 TD
Drew Dober
Frank Camacho
79
Sig strikes landed
60
194
Sig strikes attempted
115
91
Total strikes landed
84
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Drew Dober

30-15 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
L UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
Blue corner
W1

Frank Camacho

"The Crank"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—