Prelims2
Welterweight
Niko Price vs George Sullivan
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
·Spectrum Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Niko Price
George Sullivan
57%
43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 9y
37
16-12
Career record
Δ 11 pp
17-8
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Price: 24 sig / 2 TD ·
Sullivan: 21 sig / 1 TD
Niko Price
George Sullivan
36
Sig strikes landed
33
89
Sig strikes attempted
80
52
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
97s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16-12
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
Blue corner
L1
George Sullivan
"The Silencer"
17-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—