Prelims1
Lightweight
Vinc Pichel vs Joaquim Silva
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
·Spectrum Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vinc Pichel
Joaquim Silva
54%
46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
15-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-6
W3
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pichel: 60 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 45 sig / 0 TD
Vinc Pichel
Joaquim Silva
38
Sig strikes landed
28
87
Sig strikes attempted
72
46
Total strikes landed
45
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
15-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
Blue corner
W3
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
15-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—