Prelims1
Featherweight
Mirsad Bektic vs Godofredo Pepey
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
·Spectrum Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mirsad Bektic
Godofredo Pepey
71%
29%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
13-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Bektic: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Pepey: 5 sig / 0 TD
Mirsad Bektic
Godofredo Pepey
30
Sig strikes landed
21
59
Sig strikes attempted
48
53
Total strikes landed
38
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
283s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mirsad Bektic
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
Blue corner
L1
Godofredo Pepey
13-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—