Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Francimar Barroso
47%
53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 6y
38
17-15
Career record
Δ 17 pp
19-8
L2
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Villante: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Barroso: 74 sig / 0 TD
Gian Villante
Francimar Barroso
51
Sig strikes landed
56
97
Sig strikes attempted
106
67
Total strikes landed
66
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
184s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
Blue corner
L1
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
19-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—