Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Sabah Homasi
Abdul Razak Alhassan
51%
49%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
11-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-7
L2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Homasi: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Razak Alhassan: 13 sig / 0 TD
Sabah Homasi
Abdul Razak Alhassan
30
Sig strikes landed
33
72
Sig strikes attempted
68
34
Total strikes landed
43
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
55s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sabah Homasi
11-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
13-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—