🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Daniel Cormier vs Volkan Oezdemir
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
·TD Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Volkan Oezdemir
65%
35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
39
Age
Δ 10y
28
22-3
Career record
Δ 15 pp
22-8
W4
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cormier: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Oezdemir: 38 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Cormier
Volkan Oezdemir
58
Sig strikes landed
38
103
Sig strikes attempted
84
104
Total strikes landed
47
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.8
Takedowns attempted
0.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
260s
Control time
19s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
10 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
Blue corner
W3
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—