Prelims1
Lightweight
James Krause vs Alex White
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Krause
Alex White
79%
21%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 2y
29
29-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
14-6
W3
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Krause: 35 sig / 3 TD ·
White: 56 sig / 1 TD
James Krause
Alex White
58
Sig strikes landed
48
127
Sig strikes attempted
118
76
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
113s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
James Krause
"The"
29-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex White
"The Spartan"
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—