Main
Women's Flyweight
Paige VanZant vs Jessica-Rose Clark
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Paige VanZant
Jessica-Rose Clark
67%
33%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
24
Age
Δ 6y
30
8-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
12-9
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
VanZant: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Clark: 55 sig / 2 TD
Paige VanZant
Jessica-Rose Clark
47
Sig strikes landed
44
116
Sig strikes attempted
103
81
Total strikes landed
64
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Paige VanZant
"12 Gauge"
8-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
Blue corner
W1
Jessica-Rose Clark
12-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—