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Jeremy Stephens vs Dooho Choi

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi ·Enterprise Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jeremy Stephens
Dooho Choi
33% 67%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
30-23
Career record
Δ 17 pp
17-5-1
W1
Current streak
L1
18
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Stephens: 49 sig / 0 TD · Choi: 44 sig / 0 TD
Jeremy Stephens
Dooho Choi
38
Sig strikes landed
45
94
Sig strikes attempted
92
46
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.50
87s
Control time
34s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jeremy Stephens

"Lil' Heathen"
30-23 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 18 fights · 9-9
Last 5
W UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
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L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
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L UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
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W UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
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L UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
L1

Dooho Choi

"The Korean Superboy"
17-5-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—