Main
Featherweight
Jason Knight vs Gabriel Benitez
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
·Save Mart Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jason Knight
Gabriel Benitez
76%
24%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
20-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
23-14
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knight: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Benitez: 85 sig / 0 TD
Jason Knight
Gabriel Benitez
43
Sig strikes landed
38
111
Sig strikes attempted
92
61
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
18s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jason Knight
"The Kid"
20-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
Blue corner
L1
Gabriel Benitez
"Moggly"
23-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—