Prelims2
Bantamweight
Alejandro Perez vs Iuri Alcantara
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
·Save Mart Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Iuri Alcantara
40%
60%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
28
Age
Δ 9y
37
24-9-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
35-11
W1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Alcantara: 38 sig / 0 TD
Alejandro Perez
Iuri Alcantara
34
Sig strikes landed
30
83
Sig strikes attempted
71
49
Total strikes landed
40
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
129s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alejandro Perez
"Turbo"
24-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
Blue corner
L1
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
35-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
15 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—