Back to UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Prelims2 Lightweight

Chris Gruetzemacher vs Davi Ramos

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Chris Gruetzemacher
Davi Ramos
66% 34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
31
15-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Gruetzemacher: 46 sig / 0 TD · Ramos: 55 sig / 5 TD
Chris Gruetzemacher
Davi Ramos
56
Sig strikes landed
49
113
Sig strikes attempted
123
75
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Chris Gruetzemacher

"Gritz"
15-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
Blue corner
L1

Davi Ramos

"Tasmanian Devil"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—