Prelims2
Middleweight
Antonio Braga Neto vs Trevin Giles
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
·Save Mart Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Antonio Braga Neto
Trevin Giles
36%
64%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
9-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-7
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Neto: 18 sig / 2 TD ·
Giles: 70 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Braga Neto
Trevin Giles
17
Sig strikes landed
30
39
Sig strikes attempted
51
36
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
147s
Control time
226s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonio Braga Neto
9-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
W1
Trevin Giles
17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—