Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Marc Diakiese
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
25-14
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-8
W1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Hooker: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Diakiese: 24 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Marc Diakiese
34
Sig strikes landed
38
80
Sig strikes attempted
85
46
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
72s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
25-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
L1
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
17-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—