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Main Women's Flyweight

DeAnna Bennett vs Melinda Fabian

The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale ·Park Theatre
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
DeAnna Bennett
Melinda Fabian
66% 34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Bennett: 47 sig / 0 TD · Fabian: 49 sig / 0 TD
DeAnna Bennett
Melinda Fabian
33
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
78
66
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
172s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

DeAnna Bennett

"The Argentine Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Melinda Fabian

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30