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Main Featherweight

Ricardo Lamas vs Josh Emmett

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Josh Emmett
53% 47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
21-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-7
W2
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lamas: 17 sig / 0 TD · Emmett: 10 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Josh Emmett
44
Sig strikes landed
40
108
Sig strikes attempted
115
54
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
134s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ricardo Lamas

"The Bully"
21-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
L UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Blue corner
W1

Josh Emmett

20-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
W UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…