Main
Welterweight
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Mike Perry
81%
19%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
32-9
Career record
Δ 13 pp
15-8
W5
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ponzinibbio: 78 sig / 3 TD ·
Perry: 51 sig / 1 TD
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Mike Perry
52
Sig strikes landed
35
134
Sig strikes attempted
91
57
Total strikes landed
39
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
54s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
32-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
15-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—