Back to UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Jared Cannonier vs Jan Blachowicz

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos ·Canada Life Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Jan Blachowicz
35% 65%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
19-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
30-11-2
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cannonier: 26 sig / 0 TD · Blachowicz: 50 sig / 4 TD
Jared Cannonier
Jan Blachowicz
38
Sig strikes landed
40
78
Sig strikes attempted
89
52
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jared Cannonier

"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
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L UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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L UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
Blue corner
W1

Jan Blachowicz

30-11-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
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L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—