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Main Light Heavyweight

Glover Teixeira vs Misha Cirkunov

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Misha Cirkunov
84% 16%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
33-10
Career record
Δ 17 pp
15-10
L1
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Teixeira: 13 sig / 1 TD · Cirkunov: 21 sig / 0 TD
Glover Teixeira
Misha Cirkunov
36
Sig strikes landed
34
70
Sig strikes attempted
72
52
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
159s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Glover Teixeira

33-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
W UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
L UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
W UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
W UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
Blue corner
L1

Misha Cirkunov

15-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
W UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
W UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
W UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…