Prelims1
Welterweight
Nordine Taleb vs Danny Roberts
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Danny Roberts
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
16-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Taleb: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Roberts: 1 sig / 0 TD
Nordine Taleb
Danny Roberts
36
Sig strikes landed
41
87
Sig strikes attempted
101
51
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
138s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nordine Taleb
16-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
W1
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
19-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—