Prelims1
Welterweight
Chad Laprise vs Galore Bofando
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Galore Bofando
76%
24%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
14-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
6-3
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Laprise: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Bofando: 13 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Galore Bofando
35
Sig strikes landed
29
80
Sig strikes attempted
80
54
Total strikes landed
43
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
107s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
14-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
W1
Galore Bofando
6-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—