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Prelims1 Welterweight

Chad Laprise vs Galore Bofando

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Galore Bofando
76% 24%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
14-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
6-3
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Laprise: 20 sig / 1 TD · Bofando: 13 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Galore Bofando
35
Sig strikes landed
29
80
Sig strikes attempted
80
54
Total strikes landed
43
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
107s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Chad Laprise

"The Disciple"
14-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
W UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
W UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Blue corner
W1

Galore Bofando

6-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…