Prelims1
Middleweight
Alessio Di Chirico vs Oluwale Bamgbose
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alessio Di Chirico
Oluwale Bamgbose
63%
37%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
6-5
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Di Chirico: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Bamgbose: 10 sig / 0 TD
Alessio Di Chirico
Oluwale Bamgbose
37
Sig strikes landed
33
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
58
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
105s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
Blue corner
L2
Oluwale Bamgbose
"Holy War Angel"
6-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—