Back to UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Prelims2 Welterweight

Jordan Mein vs Erick Silva

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos ·Canada Life Centre
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jordan Mein
Erick Silva
79% 21%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
28
Age
Δ 5y
34
31-13
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-10
L3
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mein: 51 sig / 3 TD · Silva: 13 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Mein
Erick Silva
36
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
65
47
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Jordan Mein

"Young Gun"
31-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
L UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
L UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
Blue corner
L1

Erick Silva

19-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
L UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—