Main
Bantamweight
John Lineker vs Marlon Vera
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Lineker
Marlon Vera
77%
23%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
31-10
Career record
Δ 11 pp
24-12-1
L1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lineker: 77 sig / 0 TD ·
Vera: 49 sig / 0 TD
John Lineker
Marlon Vera
60
Sig strikes landed
45
130
Sig strikes attempted
120
72
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
77s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31-10
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
L
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
24-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—