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Prelims2 Welterweight

Court McGee vs Sean Strickland

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Court McGee
Sean Strickland
16% 84%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
23-15
Career record
Δ 19 pp
31-8
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 62 sig / 0 TD · Strickland: 78 sig / 3 TD
Court McGee
Sean Strickland
61
Sig strikes landed
64
161
Sig strikes attempted
155
82
Total strikes landed
83
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
132s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
L UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
W UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
Blue corner
L1

Sean Strickland

31-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
W UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
W UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir