Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Angela Hill vs Nina Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
·Chartway Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Nina Nunes
45%
55%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
20-16
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 107 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 143 sig / 0 TD
Angela Hill
Nina Nunes
67
Sig strikes landed
74
138
Sig strikes attempted
159
90
Total strikes landed
91
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
112s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nina Nunes
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—