Prelims1
Heavyweight
Walt Harris vs Mark Godbeer
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Walt Harris
Mark Godbeer
45%
55%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
13-11
Career record
Δ 24 pp
14-4
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
DQ · Round 1
Harris: 21 sig / 1 TD ·
Godbeer: 3 sig / 0 TD
Walt Harris
Mark Godbeer
30
Sig strikes landed
24
65
Sig strikes attempted
45
38
Total strikes landed
40
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
72s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
Blue corner
W1
Mark Godbeer
"The Hand Of"
14-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—