Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
James Vick
Joe Duffy
47%
53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
14-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-5
W2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Vick: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Duffy: 25 sig / 2 TD
James Vick
Joe Duffy
36
Sig strikes landed
31
87
Sig strikes attempted
80
42
Total strikes landed
41
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
39s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W2
Joe Duffy
"Irish"
17-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—