Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Corey Anderson
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Corey Anderson
42%
58%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
35
Age
Δ 6y
28
28-18
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-6
W2
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Saint Preux: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Anderson: 30 sig / 4 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Corey Anderson
36
Sig strikes landed
47
78
Sig strikes attempted
98
46
Total strikes landed
71
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
60s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ovince Saint Preux
28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
Blue corner
L1
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—