Prelims1
Welterweight
Randy Brown vs Mickey Gall
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Mickey Gall
78%
22%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
27
Age
Δ 2y
26
20-9
Career record
Δ 16 pp
8-7
L1
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brown: 41 sig / 1 TD ·
Gall: 7 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Mickey Gall
27
Sig strikes landed
21
51
Sig strikes attempted
49
47
Total strikes landed
36
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
190s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
Blue corner
W3
Mickey Gall
8-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—