🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
Cody Garbrandt vs TJ Dillashaw
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cody Garbrandt
TJ Dillashaw
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
26
Age
Δ 5y
32
16-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
19-5
W6
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Garbrandt: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Dillashaw: 20 sig / 0 TD
Cody Garbrandt
TJ Dillashaw
60
Sig strikes landed
76
146
Sig strikes attempted
168
61
Total strikes landed
92
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.70
22s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
16-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
W2
TJ Dillashaw
19-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—