🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Michael Bisping vs Georges St-Pierre
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Georges St-Pierre
41%
59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
39
Age
Δ 2y
36
31-9
Career record
Δ 16 pp
27-2
W5
Current streak
W6
17
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Bisping: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
St-Pierre: 59 sig / 3 TD
Michael Bisping
Georges St-Pierre
57
Sig strikes landed
85
150
Sig strikes attempted
181
90
Total strikes landed
109
0.2
Takedowns landed
2.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
6.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.70
53s
Control time
231s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
17 fights · 12-5
Last 5
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
W6
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
27-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—