Back to UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Prelims1 Welterweight

Song Kenan vs Bobby Nash

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum ·Mercedes-Benz Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Song Kenan
Bobby Nash
75% 25%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
28
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kenan: 14 sig / 0 TD · Nash: 1 sig / 0 TD
Song Kenan
Bobby Nash
40
Sig strikes landed
28
84
Sig strikes attempted
79
61
Total strikes landed
40
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
124s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Song Kenan

"The Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L2

Bobby Nash

8-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
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