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Prelims1 Featherweight

Zabit Magomedsharipov vs Sheymon Moraes

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum ·Mercedes-Benz Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Sheymon Moraes
78% 22%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Magomedsharipov: 34 sig / 11 TD · Moraes: 18 sig / 0 TD
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Sheymon Moraes
44
Sig strikes landed
25
82
Sig strikes attempted
57
60
Total strikes landed
34
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
325s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Zabit Magomedsharipov

19-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
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Blue corner

Sheymon Moraes

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27