Back to UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Kailin Curran vs Yan Xiaonan

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum ·Mercedes-Benz Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kailin Curran
Yan Xiaonan
26% 74%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
L3
Current streak
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6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Curran: 52 sig / 2 TD · Xiaonan: 96 sig / 0 TD
Kailin Curran
Yan Xiaonan
36
Sig strikes landed
48
100
Sig strikes attempted
99
70
Total strikes landed
79
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
185s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
29%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Kailin Curran

4-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 6 fights · 1-5
Last 5
L UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
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L UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
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W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
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Blue corner

Yan Xiaonan

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28