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Prelims1 Featherweight

Song Yadong vs Bharat Kandare

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum ·Mercedes-Benz Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Bharat Kandare
88% 12%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
20
Age
Δ 10y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yadong: 8 sig / 0 TD · Kandare: 3 sig / 0 TD
Song Yadong
Bharat Kandare
42
Sig strikes landed
32
83
Sig strikes attempted
69
59
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
162s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Song Yadong

"Kung Fu Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20
Blue corner

Bharat Kandare

"Daring"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30