Prelims1
Heavyweight
Chase Sherman vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
·Mercedes-Benz Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chase Sherman
Shamil Abdurakhimov
55%
45%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 8y
36
17-12
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-9
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sherman: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Abdurakhimov: 6 sig / 0 TD
Chase Sherman
Shamil Abdurakhimov
48
Sig strikes landed
44
120
Sig strikes attempted
102
68
Total strikes landed
57
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
-0.2
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
38s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
17-12
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Shamil Abdurakhimov
"Abrek"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—