Back to UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Main Welterweight

Muslim Salikhov vs Alex Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum ·Mercedes-Benz Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Muslim Salikhov
Alex Garcia
68% 32%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
34
Age
Δ 3y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Salikhov: 10 sig / 0 TD · Garcia: 6 sig / 3 TD
Muslim Salikhov
Alex Garcia
36
Sig strikes landed
27
73
Sig strikes attempted
79
52
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
88s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
L1

Alex Garcia

"The Dominican Nightmare"
15-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
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