Back to UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Pearl Gonzalez vs Poliana Botelho

UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Pearl Gonzalez
Poliana Botelho
53% 47%
Why
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gonzalez: 27 sig / 0 TD · Botelho: 67 sig / 1 TD
Pearl Gonzalez
Poliana Botelho
35
Sig strikes landed
46
93
Sig strikes attempted
95
65
Total strikes landed
71
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
174s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Pearl Gonzalez

6-4
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
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Blue corner

Poliana Botelho

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29