Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Lando Vannata
King Green
34%
66%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
26
Age
Δ 6y
31
12-9-2
Career record
Δ 13 pp
35-18-1
L1
Current streak
L3
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Vannata: 104 sig / 4 TD ·
Green: 93 sig / 1 TD
Lando Vannata
King Green
47
Sig strikes landed
57
115
Sig strikes attempted
118
56
Total strikes landed
76
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
66s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Lando Vannata
"Groovy"
12-9-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
L3
King Green
35-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—