Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Tom Duquesnoy
Cody Stamann
64%
36%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
24
Age
Δ 4y
28
17-2
Career record
Δ 19 pp
22-8-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Duquesnoy: 33 sig / 1 TD ·
Stamann: 66 sig / 4 TD
Tom Duquesnoy
Cody Stamann
61
Sig strikes landed
41
103
Sig strikes attempted
78
75
Total strikes landed
68
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
69s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tom Duquesnoy
"Fire Kid"
17-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
Blue corner
W1
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—