Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bevon Lewis
Elias Urbina
59%
41%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
26
Age
Δ 2y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lewis: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Urbina: 30 sig / 0 TD
Bevon Lewis
Elias Urbina
34
Sig strikes landed
31
74
Sig strikes attempted
66
56
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bevon Lewis
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Elias Urbina
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24