Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Karl Reed
Cameron Olson
60%
40%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reed: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Olson: 47 sig / 3 TD
Karl Reed
Cameron Olson
36
Sig strikes landed
33
76
Sig strikes attempted
68
48
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
187s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Karl Reed
"No Worries"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Cameron Olson
"Cap'n Crunch"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28