Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jenel Lausa
Eric Shelton
45%
55%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
7-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lausa: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Shelton: 86 sig / 5 TD
Jenel Lausa
Eric Shelton
36
Sig strikes landed
35
79
Sig strikes attempted
86
44
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
46s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jenel Lausa
7-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2
Eric Shelton
"Showtime"
12-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—