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Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Alex Chambers vs Nadia Kassem

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alex Chambers
Nadia Kassem
26% 74%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
39
Age
Δ 17y
22
L1
Current streak
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Chambers: 45 sig / 4 TD · Kassem: 52 sig / 0 TD
Alex Chambers
Nadia Kassem
34
Sig strikes landed
75
72
Sig strikes attempted
142
55
Total strikes landed
83
1.6
Takedowns landed
3.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
266s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alex Chambers

"Astro Girl"
5-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
L The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
Blue corner

Nadia Kassem

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22