Back to UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Anthony Hamilton vs Adam Wieczorek

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura ·Qudos Bank Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Anthony Hamilton
Adam Wieczorek
30% 70%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 5"
81"
38
Age
Δ 12y
26
L3
Current streak
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9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hamilton: 32 sig / 2 TD · Wieczorek: 42 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Hamilton
Adam Wieczorek
22
Sig strikes landed
35
36
Sig strikes attempted
66
36
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
174s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Anthony Hamilton

"Freight Train"
15-10
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
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L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
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W UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
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L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
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Blue corner

Adam Wieczorek

"Siwy"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26