Main
Catch Weight
Alexander Volkanovski vs Shane Young
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkanovski
Shane Young
87%
13%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
29
Age
Δ 5y
24
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Volkanovski: 68 sig / 5 TD ·
Young: 18 sig / 1 TD
Alexander Volkanovski
Shane Young
55
Sig strikes landed
31
94
Sig strikes attempted
86
78
Total strikes landed
50
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
259s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
29-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
Shane Young
"Smokin'"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24