Main
Women's Flyweight
Bec Rawlings vs Jessica-Rose Clark
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Bec Rawlings
Jessica-Rose Clark
52%
48%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rawlings: 65 sig / 2 TD ·
Clark: 101 sig / 2 TD
Bec Rawlings
Jessica-Rose Clark
43
Sig strikes landed
45
106
Sig strikes attempted
99
64
Total strikes landed
72
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Bec Rawlings
"Rowdy"
7-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
Jessica-Rose Clark
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30