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Main Featherweight

Teruto Ishihara vs Rolando Dy

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Teruto Ishihara
Rolando Dy
64% 36%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
10-8-2
Career record
Δ 0 pp
9-8-1
L2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ishihara: 50 sig / 2 TD · Dy: 48 sig / 0 TD
Teruto Ishihara
Rolando Dy
32
Sig strikes landed
25
67
Sig strikes attempted
58
43
Total strikes landed
36
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
75s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Teruto Ishihara

"Yashabo"
10-8-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 5 fights · 2-2
Last 5
L The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
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L UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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W UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
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D UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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Blue corner
L1

Rolando Dy

"Dy Incredible"
9-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
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